IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Southeast Missouri St.
Ohio Valley
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.6	#294
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.4	#158
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.4	#250

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.2	#319

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.5%	2.9%	1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	14.6	15.3

.500 or above	19.6%	41.3%	17.1%
.500 or above in Conference	33.0%	49.6%	31.1%
Conference Champion	1.4%	3.0%	1.2%
Last Place in Conference	16.2%	7.5%	17.1%

First Four	0.4%	0.3%	0.4%
First Round	1.3%	2.7%	1.1%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Vanderbilt (Away) - 10.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 7	2 - 11
Quad 4	9 - 8	11 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2019	124	@ Vanderbilt	L	65-79	10%
Nov 10, 2019	241	Purdue Fort Wayne	L	79-80	50%
Nov 19, 2019	306	The Citadel	W	86-82	64%
Nov 27, 2019	213	Cal St. Fullerton	L	72-77	34%
Nov 29, 2019	128	@ Santa Clara	L	65-78	13%
Nov 30, 2019	305	Denver	W	74-73	53%
Dec 05, 2019	286	@ Abilene Christian	L	67-71	37%
Dec 07, 2019	145	@ Drake	L	69-81	15%
Dec 15, 2019	225	@ Youngstown St.	L	73-80	27%
Dec 17, 2019	14	@ Ohio St.	L	58-83	1%
Dec 21, 2019	207	@ Southern Illinois	L	66-74	26%
Jan 02, 2020	211	@ Austin Peay	L	73-81	26%
Jan 04, 2020	119	@ Murray St.	L	68-82	12%
Jan 09, 2020	80	Belmont	L	74-85	17%
Jan 11, 2020	272	Tennessee St.	W	76-74	55%
Jan 16, 2020	211	Austin Peay	L	76-78	44%
Jan 18, 2020	119	Murray St.	L	71-79	25%
Jan 23, 2020	324	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	76-77	49%
Jan 25, 2020	255	@ Eastern Illinois	L	71-76	33%
Jan 30, 2020	264	@ Morehead St.	L	71-76	34%
Feb 01, 2020	274	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	83-87	36%
Feb 06, 2020	216	Jacksonville St.	L	71-72	45%
Feb 08, 2020	310	Tennessee Tech	W	74-70	64%
Feb 13, 2020	258	Tennessee Martin	W	78-77	52%
Feb 15, 2020	324	SIU Edwardsville	W	79-73	68%
Feb 20, 2020	216	@ Jacksonville St.	L	68-75	27%
Feb 22, 2020	310	@ Tennessee Tech	L	71-73	44%
Feb 27, 2020	255	Eastern Illinois	W	74-73	52%
Feb 29, 2020	258	@ Tennessee Martin	L	75-80	34%
Projected Record						10 - 19	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0		1.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.0	1.3	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0			4.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.5	1.5	2.0	1.1	0.2	0.0					5.4	3rd
4th									0.0	0.5	2.4	2.6	1.1	0.1	0.0						6.8	4th
5th								0.0	0.6	2.8	3.2	1.3	0.1	0.0							8.0	5th
6th							0.0	0.4	3.0	4.1	1.6	0.1	0.0								9.2	6th
7th							0.2	3.0	5.1	2.0	0.1										10.4	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	2.7	5.2	2.4	0.2	0.0										10.8	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	2.3	5.4	3.0	0.3	0.0											11.3	9th
10th			0.0	0.3	2.6	4.9	2.9	0.5	0.0												11.3	10th
11th		0.1	0.9	2.7	4.2	2.8	0.5	0.0													11.1	11th
12th	0.6	1.8	3.2	2.9	1.6	0.3	0.0	0.0													10.4	12th

Total	0.6	1.8	4.1	5.9	8.8	10.6	11.8	12.1	11.4	9.6	7.8	5.7	4.2	2.8	1.7	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	99.5%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	79.5%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
15-3	38.2%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	26.1%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	7.5%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	0.6%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.4%	1.4		0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		50.0%	48.4%	1.6%	11.9									0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0		3.0%
17-1	0.1%		32.2%	32.2%		13.8														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.4%		35.5%	35.5%		14.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.2
15-3	0.8%		17.5%	17.5%		14.5														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.7
14-4	1.7%		13.8%	13.8%		14.8														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.4
13-5	2.8%		10.3%	10.3%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	2.5
12-6	4.2%		6.1%	6.1%		15.5															0.0	0.1	0.1	3.9
11-7	5.7%		2.5%	2.5%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	5.6
10-8	7.8%		1.0%	1.0%		15.9																0.0	0.1	7.7
9-9	9.6%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																0.0	0.1	9.5
8-10	11.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.4
7-11	12.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																0.0	0.0	12.1
6-12	11.8%																							11.8
5-13	10.6%																							10.6
4-14	8.8%																							8.8
3-15	5.9%																							5.9
2-16	4.1%																							4.1
1-17	1.8%																							1.8
0-18	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		1.5%	1.5%	0.0%	15.2									0.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.6	98.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%